Policy Research Prompt

This is the reusable prompt for researching one plank of the platform. Run it once per policy. Each run produces one file in this folder, named policy-NN-slug.md (e.g. policy-01-housing.md), numbered to match the plank order in the README and on the homepage.

These docs serve three audiences, in priority order:

  1. Us, in conversation. Talking points we can deliver from memory and defend when pushed.
  2. The ebook. Each doc becomes the first draft of a chapter, so citations must be real and checkable.
  3. A skeptical expert. An economist or journalist reading this should find it honest — including about the weak spots.

The prompt

Research the following policy from the Unblock America platform: [paste the plank title and full text from README.md].

Produce a markdown document following the template below exactly. Rules:

  • Primary sources first. Government statistics, academic papers, and legislative text over think-tank summaries; think-tank summaries over journalism. Every citation must be a real, checkable source with author/institution, title, and year. Never fabricate or approximate a citation — if you can't verify it, say "unverified" next to it.
  • Quantify or flag. Every empirical claim gets a number and a source, or an explicit "(estimate, weak evidence)" flag. A talking point we can't back up is a liability, not an asset.
  • Name the beneficiaries of the status quo specifically — companies, industries, lobby groups, with dollar figures on what they gain and what they spend on lobbying where available. Do not substitute vague villains ("elites", "Washington") for specific ones.
  • Be honest about losers. Every one of these policies creates transition pain for someone. Naming who loses, how much, and for how long is what separates this platform from marketing. If a compensation mechanism exists (like shifting ethanol subsidies to fruits and vegetables), evaluate whether it actually covers the loss.
  • Steelman the opposition. Find the strongest published arguments against the policy — from credentialed critics, not strawmen — and respond to each. Where the critics are right, concede it in writing.
  • Date everything. Statistics drift. Every number gets the year it was measured, and the doc gets the date it was researched.

Template for each policy doc

# Policy NN: [Title as it appears in the README]

Researched: YYYY-MM-DD. Status: draft | reviewed.

## The plank

[Verbatim text from the platform. If README and index.html disagree, note it — that's a bug to fix.]

## The problem

What is broken today, with numbers. How much does the status quo cost, who pays,
and how does that cost show up in an ordinary person's life?

## Who profits from the status quo

The specific companies, industries, and lobby groups that benefit; what they gain
per year; what they spend defending it. This is the villain section — it must be
factual enough to survive a defamation review.

## The proposal, concretely

What actually changes: which statute, regulation, or agency rule. What the
mechanism is (the Japan yōto chiiki model, the shortest-split-line method, etc.)
and how it works where it's already in use.

## Evidence

Case studies, natural experiments, and academic literature. For each: what
happened, where, when, measured how, and how closely it maps to the US case.
Rate the overall strength of evidence: strong / moderate / thin.

## Who wins, who loses

Distributional table. Winners and losers, sized in dollars and people where
possible. Transition costs and duration. Whether proposed compensation actually
compensates.

## Fiscal impact

Effect on the federal budget: revenue, outlays, net, over what window. Use CBO,
JCT, or academic scoring where it exists; label back-of-envelope estimates as such.
The platform's core claim is fiscal — this section is not optional.

## The opposition's best case

The 3–5 strongest published arguments against, each attributed to its strongest
proponent, each answered honestly. Concessions in writing where they're right.

## Talking points

- **One line:** deliverable in a sentence.
- **Thirty seconds:** the problem, the fix, the proof point.
- **Two minutes:** adds the villain, the evidence, and the honest cost.
Every factual claim in the talking points must trace to a sourced claim above.

## Open questions

What we still don't know, what evidence would change our mind, and what an
economist reviewing this plank should be asked to check first.

## Sources

Full citations with year and link. Mark each: primary / secondary / unverified.

Working agreements

  • One policy per doc, one doc per policy. Cross-cutting research (movement strategy, case studies of reform movements) stays in docs/ root, not here.
  • A doc is draft until a second pass has verified its citations resolve and say what we claim they say; then mark it reviewed.
  • When a doc changes what we believe, update the plank text in README.md and app/templates/index.html (both — they drift) in the same change.
  • The suggested order of research is by argumentative load-bearing weight, not plank number: start with the planks we cite most in conversation (housing, tax filing, healthcare–employment), and use what we learn to decide Policy 12.